Teaching in 2030 – A New Series About Our Potential Slippery Slope
Alternative Series Title – We’ve Fallen and We Can’t Get Up!
I am all about series lately, can you tell! I’ve got a series of weekend posts about the Top 100 Children’s Picture Books, another one about the Top 100 Children’s Novels and a third about the 50 Multicultural Books Every Child Should Know. I mean, somebody stop the madness!
I can’t help myself. I just keep finding all this interesting stuff that I want to share with my peeps and splitting it up into blog-sized bits just makes the most sense. Hence, the series.
Recently, I stumbled upon a series of essays about the future of American education sponsored by the Hoover Institution. I’d like to check them out and pull them apart with the TEACHER in mind. And, you know, add a little sass to the conversation. Put a little a la Mrs. Mimi on it, if you will.
The first essay I want to take a look at is titled “Only if Past Trends Persist Is the Future Dismal” by Paul E. Peterson. If I have learned anything in my time as a doctoral student (and sometimes I wonder if I have learned anything…) it is to consider the source. Briefly, Mr. Peterson is a professor at Harvard, but also is connected to the Hoover Institution of Stanford University. (Basically, you can see his leather elbow patches from space.) He is focused on the importance of parental choice in relation to positive school outcomes. The idea of school choice and vouchers make me a bit nervous, because Mrs. Mimi is a big believer that these systems, although well intended, can become inequitable very quickly and really, are just Band Aids for larger problems. How about we FIX schools, IMPROVE schools instead of shuffling our friends elsewhere? But that’s just me.
Basically, Mr. Elbow Patches begins by examining some of the current trends in education (as observed in the last 40 years) to help predict some potential trends for 2030. Friends, the outlook is grim. I won’t include everything, but among some of his more interesting predictions are these:
* Per pupil spending will triple. (Enter for-profit school sharks.)
* Student/teacher rations will decrease from about 15 students per teacher to less than 10. (I’m not sure where people have only 15 students right now, but if you do, high five for you!)
* Control of our schools will continue to shift away from local boards and toward state and federal government. (Can you say “testing-pa-looza 2030”)
* The percentage of children attending charter schools will continue to increase.
* Schools will stay largely segregated.
* The overall quality of the teaching force will decline. (Proof that rampant finger pointing = uber qualified people running from teaching like it’s the plague.)
Would you like a drink now or later?
He continues to discuss predictions for the role of technology in the classroom. Some of which sound awesome, some of which sound daunting and some of which will probably end up being just for the good old dog and pony show. Among his predictions – information, curriculum and instructional tools will become available via the Internet at little to no cost and revolutionize student engagement. Although, and I almost fell off my chair when I read it, he suggests that this type of student engagement in school may encourage children to choose to NOT attend a traditional high school, opting instead for more of a home-schooling environment. He questions if colleges will continue to require a high school diploma…Um, say whaaaat?
A direct quote (cuz I couldn’t paraphrase this one or say it any better myself):
“In short, the rising costs public schools, the declining quality of instruction within